Scouting report: Valerio Carnicelli (IM, ITA)

1,071 over-the-board games in the Chess Stalker database (1,053 classical, 18 rapid): 42% wins, 20% draws, 37% losses. FIDE rating 2422 standard, 2392 rapid, 2336 blitz. 295 games analyzed with Stockfish: 92% accuracy, 0.15 blunders per game.

  • Opening repertoire of Valerio Carnicelli as White and Black, with results per line — free.
  • Weaknesses and blunder patterns, evaluated with Stockfish — free.
  • Recent over-the-board games and endgame statistics.
  • Twin Bot: a sparring bot that imitates Valerio Carnicelli's style so you can rehearse the matchup — free online.

Full report: https://chessstalker.com/fide/856185 — no account needed.

Chess Stalker

Valerio Carnicelli

IM

Italyborn 2000FIDE ID 856185

Rating & statistics

FIDE rating lists · Sep 2023 – Sep 2026
2250
2350
2450
Peak2456
2403 · Sep 2023
Oct
2024
Apr
Jul
Oct
2025
Apr
Jul
Oct
2026
Apr
Jul
Oct
Sep 2023Oct 2026
2422
2392
2336
2456peak, Aug 2026
1,071games
447wins, 42%
209draws, 20%
401losses, 37%

Play style

before facing them
Elite accuracy: 92.5% average
Very consistent (85%)
Very precise: only 0.1 blunders/game
Dominates 1.Nf3 as ♔ (67% in 27 games)
Vulnerable to 1.d4 ♚ (only 42%)

Play against Carnicelli's Twin

Their real openings, level & style

Based on 1,071 games

Openings

1,071 games

Weaknesses

where they slip as ♔ White
Italian: Fried Liver1.e4 e5 2.♞f3 ♞c6 3.♝c4 ♞f6 4.♞g5only 9 games, last played last year55.6%losses
Pirc Defense1.e4 d6 2.d4 ♞f613 games, last played last month46.2%losses

Strengths

what holds up for them as ♔ White
Reti: Double Fianchetto1.♞f3 ♞f6 2.g3 g610 games, last played 4 months ago70.0%wins
French: Winawer1.e4 e6 2.d4 d5 3.♞c3 ♝b416 games, last played last year62.5%wins

Deep analysis

Stockfish · Classical · 295 analyzed
Accuracy by phase
Opening
96.6%
Middlegame
92.8%
Endgame
94.3%
Clutch factor
+4%
Winning (+2)
94%
Equal
93%
Losing (−2)
90%
Problematic pieces
23%
74 err
22%
72 err
17%
57 err
15%
48 err
13%
42 err
11%
35 err
Critical moment
Move 46 avg
4%
1-15
15%
16-25
11%
26-35
19%
36-45
52%
46+
52% of blunders occur after move 46. Keep tension until then.
Error heatmap · Critical squares
10
12
12
11
12
10
Few
Many
f5
12
f6
12
f7
12
c5
11
b4
10
f5/f6 concentrate most errors. Force decisions in those zones.

Critical blunders

10 errors
#43
♞xh3?? vs Dubov
Endgame · OTB · 2026
#56
♚f8?? vs Indjic
Endgame · OTB · 2026
#18
♛e2?? vs Bluebaum
Middlegame · OTB · 2026
#37
♞c2?? vs Zamengo
Endgame · OTB · 2026
#30
♜e2?? vs Lumachi
Middlegame · OTB · 2025
#42
c8=♛?? vs Krastev
Endgame · OTB · 2025

Recent games

Bettalli, Francesco(2389)

24th Spilimbergo Open · 13 Aug 2026

0–1
Botta, Massimiliano(2276)

24th Spilimbergo Open · 10 Aug 2026

0–1
Liskiewicz, Jakub(2235)

35th Kavala Open 2026 · 4 Aug 2026

1–0
Saine, Zachary(2124)

35th Kavala Open 2026 · 3 Aug 2026

1–0
Chernyak, Viktoria(2203)

35th Kavala Open 2026 · 1 Aug 2026

½–½
Fragkos, Vasileios(2225)

35th Kavala Open 2026 · 31 Jul 2026

½–½

Endgame statistics

Repertoire

PRO
1,071 games in scope
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
543 games46%W18%D36%L
Move
1. e4
4456w
44%2036%
54%
1. b3
461y
46%1341%
52%
1. ♞f3
274m
63%30%
67%
1. d4
224m
64%31%
66%
1. c4
32y
100%
100%

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