Scouting report: Rafael Leitao (GM, BRA)

2,444 over-the-board games in the Chess Stalker database (2,422 classical, 22 rapid): 50% wins, 32% draws, 17% losses. FIDE rating 2584 standard, 2615 rapid, 2594 blitz. 95 games analyzed with Stockfish: 94% accuracy, 0.08 blunders per game.

  • Opening repertoire of Rafael Leitao as White and Black, with results per line — free.
  • Weaknesses and blunder patterns, evaluated with Stockfish — free.
  • Recent over-the-board games and endgame statistics.
  • Twin Bot: a sparring bot that imitates Rafael Leitao's style so you can rehearse the matchup — free online.

Full report: https://chessstalker.com/fide/2101246 — no account needed.

Rafael Leitao

GM

Brazilborn 1979FIDE ID 2101246

Rating & statistics

FIDE rating lists · Sep 2023 – Sep 2026
2560
2600
2640
2592 · Sep 2023
Oct
2024
Apr
Jul
Oct
2025
Apr
Jul
Oct
2026
Apr
Jul
Oct
Sep 2023Oct 2026
2615
2594
2584
2652peak, Jun 2014
2,444games
1,224wins, 50%
793draws, 32%
426losses, 17%

Play style

before facing them
Elite accuracy: 94.1% average
Low resilience (32%): Doesn't save lost positions
Very consistent (92%)
Very precise: only 0.1 blunders/game
Dominates 1.d4 as ♔ (74% in 690 games)

Play against Leitao's Twin

Their real openings, level & style

Based on 2,444 games

Openings

2,444 games

Weaknesses

where they slip as ♔ White
Sicilian: Taimanov1.e4 c5 2.f3 e6 3.d4 cxd4 4.xd4 c611 games, last played 8 months ago45.5%losses

Strengths

what holds up for them as ♔ White
Sicilian: Rossolimo1.e4 c5 2.f3 c6 3.b513 games, last played 8 months ago76.9%wins
Caro-Kann: Advance1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.e513 games, last played 11 months ago69.2%wins

Deep analysis

Stockfish · Classical · 95 analyzed
Accuracy by phase
Opening
97.1%
Middlegame
94.3%
Endgame
94.1%
Clutch factor
+4%
Winning (+2)
95%
Equal
96%
Losing (−2)
91%
Problematic pieces
20%
16 err
20%
16 err
19%
15 err
18%
14 err
15%
12 err
8%
6 err
Critical moment
Move 44 avg
0%
1-15
12%
16-25
0%
26-35
25%
36-45
62%
46+
62% of blunders occur after move 46. Keep tension until then.
Error heatmap · Critical squares
5
5
4
4
Few
Many
e5
5
f4
5
d1
4
g4
4
a4
3
e5/f4 concentrate most errors. Force decisions in those zones.

Critical blunders

10 errors
#24
g7?? vs Viana
Middlegame · OTB · 2026
#23
xb2?? vs Aranha Filho
Middlegame · OTB · 2025
#49
g6+?? vs Bluebaum
Endgame · OTB · 2025
#47
d5?? vs Bluebaum
Endgame · OTB · 2024
#41
d5?? vs Bluebaum
Endgame · OTB · 2024
#33
f4?? vs Grischuk
Middlegame · OTB · 2023

Recent games

Pires, Marcos Vinicius Torsani(2282)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 6 Sept 2026

1–0
Schnaider, Ilan(2442)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 5 Sept 2026

1–0
Jardim, Frederico Rodrigues(2304)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 4 Sept 2026

1–0
Fernandez, Maria Florencia(2189)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 3 Sept 2026

1–0
Rodriguez Vila, Andres(2401)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 2 Sept 2026

½–½
Di Berardino, Diego Rafael(2471)

Scherer Masters 2026 · 1 Sept 2026

½–½

Endgame statistics

Repertoire

PRO
2,444 games in scope
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
1,238 games56%W30%D14%L
Move
1. d4
6901w
56%36%
74%
1. c4
3158m
59%1328%
66%
1. e4
2111w
53%32%15
69%
1. f3
227y
27%64%
59%

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