Scouting report: Rafael A Vaganian (GM, ARM)

3,460 over-the-board games in the Chess Stalker database (3,295 classical, 84 rapid, 81 blitz): 40% wins, 38% draws, 22% losses. FIDE rating 2431 standard, 2416 rapid, 2439 blitz. 285 games analyzed with Stockfish: 93% accuracy, 0.08 blunders per game.

  • Opening repertoire of Rafael A Vaganian as White and Black, with results per line — free.
  • Weaknesses and blunder patterns, evaluated with Stockfish — free.
  • Recent over-the-board games and endgame statistics.
  • Twin Bot: a sparring bot that imitates Rafael A Vaganian's style so you can rehearse the matchup — free online.

Full report: https://chessstalker.com/fide/13300016 — no account needed.

Rafael A Vaganian

GM

Armeniaborn 1951FIDE ID 13300016

Rating & statistics

FIDE rating lists · Sep 2023 – Sep 2026
2400
2440
2480
2520
2493 · Sep 2023
Oct
2024
Apr
Jul
Oct
2025
Apr
Jul
Oct
2026
Apr
Jul
Oct
Sep 2023Oct 2026
2439
2431
2416
2670peak, Jan 2005
3,460games
1,387wins, 40%
1,322draws, 38%
751losses, 22%

Play style

before facing them
Elite accuracy: 93.3% average
Very consistent (86%)
Very precise: only 0.1 blunders/game
Dominates 1.Nf3 as ♔ (67% in 749 games)

Play against Vaganian's Twin

Their real openings, level & style

Based on 3,460 games

Openings

3,460 games

Weaknesses

where they slip as ♔ White

No significant weaknesses detected as white

Strengths

what holds up for them as ♔ White
Reti: KIA1.f3 d5 2.g3 f634 games, last played last year64.7%wins
Nimzo-Indian: Rubinstein1.d4 f6 2.c4 e6 3.c3 b4 4.e329 games, last played 2 years ago55.2%wins

Deep analysis

Stockfish · Classical · 285 analyzed
Accuracy by phase
Opening
96.3%
Middlegame
93.7%
Endgame
94.8%
Clutch factor
+5%
Winning (+2)
94%
Equal
95%
Losing (−2)
89%
Problematic pieces
26%
85 err
20%
64 err
19%
62 err
16%
51 err
11%
37 err
9%
29 err
Critical moment
Move 35 avg
10%
1-15
5%
16-25
38%
26-35
29%
36-45
19%
46+
38% of blunders occur after move 26-35. Keep tension until then.
Error heatmap · Critical squares
11
10
9
9
11
Few
Many
d2
11
d6
11
b5
10
e4
9
g5
9
d2/d6 concentrate most errors. Force decisions in those zones.

Critical blunders

10 errors
#56
d1=?? vs Sydykov
Middlegame · OTB · 2025
#32
a1?? vs Bluebaum
Endgame · OTB · 2025
#29
g4?? vs Niemann
Endgame · OTB · 2025
#40
xf6+?? vs Rozman
Endgame · OTB · 2025
#45
xh5?? vs Khalikian
Endgame · Blitz · 2024
#48
c8+?? vs Khalikian
Endgame · Rapid · 2024

Recent games

Mungunzul, Bat-Erdene(2392)

53rd Sparkassen Open A · 8 Aug 2026

0–1
Bayasgalan, Khishigbaatar(2281)

53rd Sparkassen Open A · 7 Aug 2026

1–0
Balashov, Yuri S(2382)

Aeroflot Open Legends · 4 Mar 2026

½–½
Vaisser, Anatoly(2417)

Aeroflot Open Legends · 3 Mar 2026

½–½
De La Torre Rodriguez, Elizabeth(2064)

Aeroflot Open Legends · 1 Mar 2026

½–½
Torre, Eugenio(2417)

Aeroflot Open Legends · 1 Mar 2026

½–½

Endgame statistics

Repertoire

PRO
3,460 games in scope
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
1,728 games46%W36%D18%L
Move
1. d4
8371y
46%33%21
62%
1. f3
7496m
48%38%14
67%
1. c4
13110y
35%45%20
58%
1. g3
419y
25%50%25%
50%
1. e4
4Aug 1977
100%
0%
1. d3
21y
50%50%
50%
1. c3
1Jan 1979
100%
100%

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